Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 7-6
Celta vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
CEL
2 - 2
ESP
73%
15%
13%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 1
CEL
54%
20%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATM
60%
18%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
ATM
5 - 5
CEL
75%
14%
12%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
CEL
4 - 0
RCF
78%
12%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
CEL
2 - 2
ESP
73%
15%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
ESP
1 - 1
CEL
54%
20%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
MUR
2 - 2
ESP
41%
24%
36%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 0
MUR
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
RMA
0 - 1
ESP
71%
16%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |