Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Celta vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
CEL
3 - 0
CUL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
CEL
43%
22%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
BET
4 - 0
CEL
40%
22%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
CEL
7 - 2
BAR
78%
13%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
CON
0 - 1
CEL
36%
23%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 2
ESP
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
ESP
1 - 3
SAB
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
CAS
2 - 0
ESP
58%
20%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
ESP
7 - 2
GRA
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |