Celta vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
CAS
2 - 0
CEL
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATM
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
CEL
0 - 1
GRA
60%
18%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SEV
4 - 3
CEL
75%
14%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEP
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
RSO
6 - 1
ESP
43%
21%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 1
CAS
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATM
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
GRA
4 - 0
ESP
47%
21%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ESP
3 - 2
SEV
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |