Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-8
Celta vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
CEL
7 - 1
ROB
92%
6%
3%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1940 |
CEL
1 - 0
DEP
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
ROB
2 - 2
CEL
20%
20%
60%
|
73 | 32 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
BET
2 - 0
CEL
52%
21%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATM
56%
19%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
LEV
0 - 4
ESP
28%
21%
51%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
ESP
6 - 2
LEV
83%
11%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ESP
38%
22%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 0
BET
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |