Celta vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
RAC
6 - 2
CEL
64%
17%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
2 - 0
SEV
52%
20%
29%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CEL
4 - 0
HER
58%
18%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
CEL
71%
16%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
11%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ESP
3 - 1
RAC
66%
17%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
SEV
4 - 0
ESP
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 4
RMA
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
HER
1 - 2
ESP
47%
22%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |