Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 11-2
Celta vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.6%
10.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 3
CEL
51%
20%
29%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 0
ZAR
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
HER
0 - 5
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
72%
15%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 4
FCB
41%
21%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
DEP
2 - 3
CEL
51%
20%
29%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
GRA
1 - 3
DEP
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
DEP
3 - 4
RSO
61%
18%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAS
3 - 0
DEP
45%
22%
34%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
DEP
3 - 1
GRA
70%
16%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |