Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-3
Celta vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
CUL
2 - 2
CEL
44%
22%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
GRA
5 - 2
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CEL
1 - 5
SEV
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
DEP
3 - 2
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
CEL
2 - 2
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
CUL
2 - 2
CEL
44%
22%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
CUL
1 - 3
CON
57%
21%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
OSA
3 - 0
CUL
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
CUL
4 - 0
BET
42%
22%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
JFC
5 - 1
CUL
68%
17%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |