Celta vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
CDT
0 - 1
CEL
56%
25%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 0
CCF
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
GIM
0 - 2
CEL
28%
32%
41%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
CEL
2 - 0
TER
82%
14%
4%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
ALA
0 - 0
CEL
36%
34%
30%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 1
REC
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BUR
2 - 1
CDT
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CCF
3 - 2
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
BUR
4 - 1
GIM
81%
15%
5%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
TER
0 - 2
BUR
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |