Celta vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 3
CEL
53%
23%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
CUL
3 - 1
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
CEL
6 - 1
CCF
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
CEL
5 - 1
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
SLA
2 - 1
CEL
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
CUL
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
BAS
0 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 1
VAL
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 2
SLA
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
PUL
4 - 1
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |