Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-9
Celta vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
CEL
2 - 0
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
VAD
1 - 2
CEL
35%
22%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ATM
3 - 1
CEL
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
2 - 0
VCF
49%
21%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
5 - 0
CAS
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1943 |
FCB
8 - 1
LEV
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
LEV
2 - 3
FCB
26%
21%
53%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
GRA
2 - 3
FCB
41%
22%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
FCB
3 - 1
SEV
64%
18%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
ATH
5 - 2
FCB
70%
15%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |