Celta vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
CON
0 - 1
CEL
36%
23%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
CEL
4 - 2
RCF
82%
12%
7%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
JFC
4 - 2
CEL
46%
21%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
CEL
3 - 1
ZAR
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
RSO
4 - 3
CEL
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1944 |
BAR
3 - 1
BET
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1944 |
BAR
0 - 1
SDC
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
BAR
2 - 1
RCF
68%
17%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
JFC
2 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |