Celta vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
DEP
4 - 1
CEL
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
CEL
8 - 0
ALA
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEL
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
CEL
4 - 0
SEV
56%
19%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
MUR
3 - 1
CEL
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
ATM
3 - 1
OSA
66%
17%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
SAB
1 - 2
ATM
31%
21%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
ATM
3 - 1
RUN
63%
18%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
ATM
2 - 2
MUR
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
DEP
1 - 2
ATM
45%
20%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |