Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-7
Celta vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
43.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
ATH
6 - 0
CEL
88%
7%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
CEL
5 - 0
JFC
78%
12%
10%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
GIR
2 - 0
CEL
34%
23%
44%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
CEL
6 - 1
ARE
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CEL
61%
19%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1936 |
ATH
6 - 0
CEL
88%
7%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
2 - 0
OSA
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATH
61%
18%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
5 - 2
FCB
77%
13%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |