Champions League Last 16
Global 2-5
Celta vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 2
MAL
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VAD
0 - 2
CEL
39%
28%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
BET
1 - 0
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALA
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARS
34%
25%
40%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
64%
21%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 0
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
WOL
1 - 3
ARS
11%
21%
69%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
ARS
19%
24%
57%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | -1 |