Celta vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 2
MUR
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ZAR
3 - 0
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
UDL
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
RSO
2 - 2
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
ALA
3 - 0
HUE
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CDT
3 - 0
ALA
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 1
EIB
65%
22%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ALA
0 - 1
CAS
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |