Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-1
Celta vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
RMA
1 - 2
CEL
72%
17%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 1
EIN
64%
22%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 2
SEV
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
0 - 0
CEL
36%
29%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SLA
3 - 0
ALA
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HER
3 - 1
ALA
25%
28%
47%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
0 - 0
CEL
36%
29%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ALA
2 - 0
CAS
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CAD
1 - 1
ALA
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |