Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 0-3
Celta vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
LOR
1 - 1
CEL
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
CEL
1 - 0
LOG
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
MLL
2 - 0
CEL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
CEL
2 - 0
CAS
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
ALA
1 - 0
CEL
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
ALA
4 - 2
AND
57%
26%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
ALA
3 - 0
SPB
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
OSA
1 - 3
ALA
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
ALA
1 - 0
CEL
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
ALA
0 - 0
CFP
80%
15%
5%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | -1 |