Celta vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
RCM
2 - 1
CEL
31%
22%
47%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1929 |
CEL
1 - 2
ISC
76%
13%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
ATH
7 - 1
CEL
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATH
49%
22%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
RSO
3 - 0
CEL
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1929 |
ISC
1 - 2
ALA
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1929 |
ALA
3 - 1
DEP
46%
22%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
RCF
2 - 0
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -3 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
ALA
1 - 1
RCF
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1928 |
ALA
0 - 5
FCB
28%
23%
50%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |