Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Celta Fortuna vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
CEL
4 - 1
CDG
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NAV
2 - 0
CEL
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 1
TAL
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 3
CEL
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 1
MAR
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
MEL
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CDE
1 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
REC
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |