Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 8-1
Celta Fortuna vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
3 - 0
CEL
66%
23%
12%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 1
CAY
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 3
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SAN
0 - 1
CEL
65%
23%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 3
LEN
69%
22%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
SPO
2 - 1
SIE
46%
25%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
AVI
0 - 1
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 3
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 0
PON
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
SPO
0 - 1
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |