Celta Fortuna vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
CDO
1 - 3
CEL
56%
26%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CEL
5 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
LAN
3 - 0
CEL
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CEL
2 - 1
ULP
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CUL
0 - 0
CEL
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
AVI
1 - 1
AVI
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
UPL
1 - 1
AVI
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 2
LUG
30%
28%
42%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
RMC
3 - 1
AVI
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
2 - 3
PON
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |