Celta Fortuna vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
UPL
2 - 0
CEL
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
CEL
0 - 2
SLA
30%
30%
40%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
CDO
1 - 3
CEL
68%
22%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
CEL
1 - 6
TAL
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
ATB
1 - 1
CEL
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
AVI
1 - 1
PON
61%
24%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
SSR
1 - 2
AVI
46%
28%
26%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
UPL
5 - 2
AVI
42%
29%
29%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
AVI
0 - 1
SLA
29%
31%
40%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
CDO
3 - 0
AVI
59%
26%
15%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |