Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
COM
2 - 3
CEL
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 1
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 2
RCF
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CEL
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CEL
2 - 1
CDG
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LUG
3 - 0
CFP
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SES
1 - 2
LUG
26%
28%
47%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
ATH
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |