Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-0
Celta Fortuna vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 0
NOI
58%
25%
17%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CAC
2 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 0
TUR
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 3
AVI
55%
26%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 0
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ROB
3 - 1
LUG
57%
25%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
LUG
3 - 1
CLU
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
PON
1 - 1
LUG
62%
23%
15%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
LUG
2 - 1
CAU
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 0
CEL
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |