Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-3
Celta Fortuna vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ARO
4 - 1
CEL
56%
26%
18%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 0
DEP
54%
27%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CEL
5 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
3 - 0
CEL
66%
23%
12%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 1
CAY
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CEL
0 - 0
VCF
31%
30%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
2 - 0
CEL
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ALO
0 - 4
CEL
27%
29%
45%
|
71 | 28 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
40%
30%
30%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
RAY
2 - 0
CEL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |