Celta Fortuna vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
UDL
2 - 2
CEL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CEL
3 - 1
PPJ
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ATB
0 - 2
CEL
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 3
LEG
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ALC
3 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
RSI
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDO
34%
30%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
UDL
2 - 0
CAS
73%
19%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 1
PPJ
39%
29%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ATB
3 - 2
CAS
58%
25%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |