Celta Fortuna vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
LEG
1 - 0
CEL
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 3
SSR
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
CEL
22%
29%
49%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 1
LLE
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LLE
3 - 0
CEL
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 0
CDO
17%
27%
56%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 2
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
CER
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDF
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |