TuS Celle vs ESV Ingolstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
USO
5 - 0
CEL
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
CEL
0 - 0
USO
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
CEL
0 - 1
OSN
29%
28%
43%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
ISC
5 - 0
CEL
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
CEL
3 - 0
LUB
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
ESV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
ULM
1 - 0
ESV
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
ESV
4 - 3
FRE
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
OFC
2 - 1
ESV
80%
13%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
WAL
4 - 0
ESV
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1981 |
ESV
0 - 2
SVS
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |