Cella vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LAA
3 - 0
CEL
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CEL
5 - 2
MAE
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AND
2 - 1
CEL
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 0
ACF
21%
23%
57%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 3
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
CDU
17%
22%
62%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 1
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
CAL
34%
23%
44%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
CDA
26%
24%
50%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |