Cella vs Ad Rivas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CFH
0 - 2
CEL
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 2
CEL
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
3 - 0
CDM
71%
16%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
5 - 1
CDQ
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UDM
3 - 1
CEL
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ad Rivas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ADR
1 - 2
CFV
14%
20%
66%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
ADR
2 - 2
CAL
19%
22%
60%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CFI
2 - 1
ADR
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FUE
2 - 0
ADR
83%
12%
6%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ADR
3 - 2
CDS
43%
24%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |