Celje vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 1
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
NKN
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 4
FCK
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEL
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 2
OLI
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
DOM
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
RUD
3 - 0
TRI
75%
16%
8%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |