UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Celje vs Sloboda Tuzla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
CEL
5 - 1
DRA
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
LJU
2 - 1
CEL
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 3
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SMA
3 - 2
CEL
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
NKD
0 - 0
CEL
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
ZEP
0 - 0
SLO
36%
28%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
SLO
2 - 3
ZRI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
RUD
4 - 2
SLO
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SLO
1 - 0
ORA
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
GLA
1 - 0
SLO
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |