Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Celje vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
5 - 0
CEL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
SBR
40%
24%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 2
SHR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 2
SHR
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 2
SPA
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 0
SHR
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SHR
2 - 1
VIK
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |