Celje vs Radomlje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
5º
1º
33
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 3
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
CEL
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 1
CEL
37%
26%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
ROG
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Radomlje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 0
DOM
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ROG
1 - 0
RAD
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
RAD
66%
19%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NSM
0 - 0
RAD
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |