Celje vs Radomlje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
5º
1º
33
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
CEL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 1
MTA
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 4
CEL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
MTA
4 - 1
CEL
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Radomlje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
RAD
3 - 1
DOM
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ROG
1 - 1
RAD
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 2
BRA
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
NSM
0 - 2
RAD
57%
22%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RAD
0 - 2
ALU
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |