Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
2º
8º
2º
73
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
CEL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 0
VID
86%
11%
3%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 1
GOR
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
BRA
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 4
DOM
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
NKN
1 - 3
OLI
15%
20%
66%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
RAD
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
OLI
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 3
GOR
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |