Celje vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FCK
0 - 0
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
CEL
7 - 2
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 1
NKD
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
NKO
2 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 2
NKM
73%
17%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
NKP
2 - 2
DRA
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
NKP
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
NKP
6 - 0
DOM
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
LJU
0 - 4
NKP
41%
26%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2003 |
NKP
3 - 2
SMA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |