Celje vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2007 |
NKI
1 - 1
CEL
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
CEL
2 - 1
NKP
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CEL
4 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NKD
3 - 1
CEL
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 1
NKI
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
NKN
3 - 1
IVA
67%
20%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2007 |
NKI
1 - 0
NKN
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
FCK
3 - 1
NKN
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NKN
0 - 4
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
DOM
3 - 0
NKN
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |