Celje vs NK Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SMA
2 - 0
CEL
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
BEL
0 - 5
CEL
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
CEL
2 - 4
NKP
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FCK
0 - 0
CEL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
CEL
7 - 2
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
NK Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
LJU
1 - 3
DRA
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
LJU
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
LJU
3 - 0
DOM
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GOR
5 - 0
LJU
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
SMA
3 - 1
LJU
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |