Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Celje vs ND Dravinja Kostroj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
CEL
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 0
CEL
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
DOM
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
CEL
29%
27%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ND Dravinja Kostroj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
RAD
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 2
TOL
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
KRK
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
SEN
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |