Celje vs Mura 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 1
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
RUD
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
TRI
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 1
DAC
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
ARS
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 2
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ARS
0 - 3
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 3
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 1
MUR
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |