Celje vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
6º
3º
15
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 60 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 59 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19.5% | 19.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
16.5% | 21.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
34.5% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 26% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
NKN
71%
18%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 1
PYU
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 3
NKP
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
PYU
1 - 0
CEL
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCK
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
NKP
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
DJU
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
DJU
1 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |