Europa League 1/64
Global 3-4
Celje vs Maccabi Haifa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
DRA
2 - 1
CEL
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
1 - 2
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MAC
2 - 1
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
DOM
1 - 5
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Maccabi Haifa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
MAC
3 - 2
HBS
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MAC
2 - 1
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
HAP
0 - 0
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MAC
4 - 0
BEI
75%
16%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
MAC
3 - 0
CWM
81%
13%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |