Celje vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
CEL
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 1
TAS
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
CEL
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GOR
0 - 4
MAR
10%
19%
71%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 1
GOR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
GOR
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GOR
2 - 0
ALU
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
GOR
2 - 2
NUK
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |