Celje vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 4
WOL
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 2
POH
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
CEL
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALU
4 - 1
CEL
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
NSM
0 - 1
CEL
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LOK
1 - 1
GOR
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 3
OLI
20%
25%
56%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
KRS
1 - 0
GOR
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GOR
0 - 1
ALU
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GOR
2 - 1
KRU
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |