Celje vs Dravograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
CEL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 1
DOM
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LJU
2 - 1
CEL
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
CEL
5 - 0
SMA
72%
17%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
NKP
2 - 2
CEL
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dravograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
DRA
0 - 1
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
DRA
2 - 1
MAR
28%
26%
47%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
DOM
3 - 0
DRA
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
DRA
1 - 3
LJU
54%
22%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SMA
2 - 1
DRA
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |