Celje vs Dravograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
LJU
2 - 1
CEL
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 3
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SMA
3 - 2
CEL
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
NKD
0 - 0
CEL
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
DRA
1 - 4
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dravograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2004 |
DRA
4 - 3
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
DRA
3 - 1
NKD
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
DRA
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
DRA
1 - 2
LJU
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
DOM
4 - 1
DRA
59%
21%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |