Celje vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LJU
0 - 2
CEL
32%
25%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
CEL
3 - 0
FCK
65%
19%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 1
NKD
85%
10%
4%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
SLO
1 - 0
CEL
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 0
SLO
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
DOM
1 - 2
GOR
32%
26%
41%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
ZAG
3 - 2
DOM
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
DOM
0 - 1
OLI
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
NKD
3 - 1
DOM
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 2
SMA
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |