Celje vs Bela Krajina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 0
CEL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NKP
1 - 0
CEL
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 3
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LJU
0 - 2
CEL
32%
25%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bela Krajina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
GOR
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ZAG
1 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 0
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
NKD
0 - 1
BEL
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MUR
3 - 1
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |