Celje vs NK Bravo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
6º
3º
16
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
18 | 66 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 59 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 56 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 38 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
17.5% | 5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
17% | 9% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
40.5% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 56% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 5
CEL
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 3
GAL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
RAP
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 0
HUN
52%
23%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Bravo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
CON
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
MTK
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
TNV
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
24%
25%
52%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |